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KMID : 0385920150260010021
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Journal of the Korean Society of Emergency Medicine
2015 Volume.26 No. 1 p.21 ~ p.29
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Appropriateness of Glasgow-Blatchford Scoring System in Early Prediction of High Risk Group for Old Age Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Patients Visiting Emergency Department
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Park Kwang-Ho
Lee Chang-Jae
Chun Ji-Man
Bae Jin-Kun
Je Sang-Mo
Chung Tae-Nyoung
Kim Eui-Chung
Choi Sung-Wook
Kim Ok-Jun
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Abstract
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Purpose: Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is one of the most common causes of emergency department (ED) presentation which can lead to a fatal condition. Many clini-cal scoring systems intended to predict the prognosis of UGIB patients were developed and validated, including Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS) and Rockall score (RS). In particular, GBS has shown its superiority in prediction of mortality, the necessity of endoscopic intervention and admission, compared with other scoring systems, in recent studies. However, GBS does not include the age of the patient as its component and has clearly shown its efficacy only in subjects under age 70. Hence, we aimed to assess whether GBS could also be used in old age UGIB patients as a useful risk stratifying method as in younger age.
Methods: UGIB patients who visited our ED for one year were retrospectively enrolled in the analysis. Medical records of the subjects were reviewed, and their GBS and clinical RS were calculated. Receiver-operating characteris-tics (ROC) curve of each score in prediction of high risk UGIB was drawn and area under curve (AUC) was calcu-lated. Correlation analysis of each score and hospital length of stay was also performed. To assess the validity of each score for use in old age patients, all analyses were also per-formed in subgroups of age over 60 years, and under that.
Results: ROC curves suggest that GBS has significant detecting power for high risk UGIB in overall subjects, sub-groups of age over 60 and under (p=<0.001 for all, AUC= 0.919, 0.935, 0.901, respectively). Otherwise, clinical RS only showed significant results in overall group and sub-group of age over 60 with lower AUC.
Conclusion: GBS may also be used safely as an initial risk stratifying method in old age UGIB patients visiting the ED, as in other age groups.
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KEYWORD
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Gastrointestinal hemorrhage, Patient acuity, Geriatric assessment
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